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Virginia's 2nd District margin of victory

Markets

  • Luria, 11+ pts

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $913.9

  • Luria, 2+ pts

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $592.1

  • Luria, 8+ pts

    • Yes54%
    • No46%

    Volume $874.8 · Liquidity $646.6

  • Luria, 5+ pts

    • Yes69%
    • No31%

    Volume $711.2 · Liquidity $583.2

  • Luria, 20+ pts

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Luria, 14+ pts

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Luria, 17+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 2nd District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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