Politics Prediction Markets
Live Kalshi event contracts on elections, Congress, policy and world leaders. Prices show the crowd's odds, not certainties.
Data from Kalshi, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Oslo City Council election winner?
Høyre: 47%
24h vol $0 · Ends Sep 13, 2028
Bergen City Council election winner?
Ap: 36%
24h vol $0 · Ends Sep 13, 2028
New York's 19th District margin of victory
Riley, 6+ pts: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Kenya Senate election winner?
Coalition including ODM: 55%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 30, 2028
Kenyan National Assembly winner?
Coalition including ODM: 46%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 30, 2028
Guatemalan Congressional election winner?
National Unity of Hope: 49%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 30, 2028
Will New Zealand enact an under-16 social media ban?
Yes: 68%
24h vol $0 · Ends Oct 1, 2027
Will Nebraska cut property taxes by $250 million?
No: 77%
24h vol $0 · Ends Oct 1, 2027
Will a court invalidate Montana's new property tax rates?
No: 69%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 1, 2027
Midterms: Trump approval in the exit poll?
Above 30%: 86%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 6, 2026
Nigerian presidential election winner?
Bola Tinubu: 71%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 28, 2028
Texas 33 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 115K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas 30 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 143K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas 24 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas 22 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas 21 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 260K: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 39 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 115K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas 18 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 142K: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Pennsylvania 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 140K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Oregon 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 280K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
North Carolina 08 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 37 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 77K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas 16 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 136K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 38 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 124K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 32 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 160K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will Venezuela exit OPEC?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 38%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
California 31 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 140K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas 13 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 33 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 129K: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas 10 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 290K: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas 09 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 95K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas 07 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 140K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will New Mexico expand its FAIR Plan?
No: 62%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2027
Who will run for Louisiana Governor in 2027?
Jeff Landry: 75%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 6, 2027
Tennessee Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 1.60M: 87%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Washington's 3rd District margin of victory
Braun, 2+ pts: 10%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York's 14th District margin of victory
Ocasio-Cortez, 34+ pts: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
North Carolina 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 27 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 130K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 25 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 140K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 24 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Tennessee 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 140K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Tennessee 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 150K: 86%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Tennessee 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 150K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
North Carolina 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
North Carolina 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 240K: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027