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New York's 19th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Riley, 21+ pts

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $461.8

  • Riley, 3+ pts

    • Yes81%
    • No19%

    Volume $649 · Liquidity $624

  • Riley, 12+ pts

    • Yes73%
    • No27%

    Volume $628.6 · Liquidity $205

  • Riley, 6+ pts

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $249 · Liquidity $229

  • Riley, 9+ pts

    • Yes86%
    • No14%

    Volume $60 · Liquidity $35

  • Riley, 15+ pts

    • Yes45%
    • No55%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • Riley, 18+ pts

    • Yes31%
    • No69%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • Riley, 24+ pts

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Riley, 27+ pts

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 19th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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