Politics Prediction Markets
Live Kalshi event contracts on elections, Congress, policy and world leaders. Prices show the crowd's odds, not certainties.
Data from Kalshi, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Will Trump’s name return to the Kennedy Center facade?
Before Jul 1, 2027: 30%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Nigerian Senate election winner?
APC: 83%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 28, 2028
Valencia municipal election winner?
PP: 76%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 22, 2028
Welsh Local Elections winner?
Plaid Cymru: 44%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 6, 2028
Scottish Local Elections winner?
Scottish National Party: 82%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 6, 2028
Northern Ireland Assembly election: 2nd place
DUP: 47%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 5, 2028
Mansfield, England mayoral election winner?
Reform UK: 58%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 6, 2028
Cumbria mayoral election winner?
Reform UK: 37%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 5, 2028
Cheshire and Warrington mayoral election winner?
Reform UK: 40%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 5, 2028
Paraguayan Chamber of Deputies election winner?
Colorado: 82%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 30, 2029
Saarland state election winner?
SPD: 43%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 18, 2028
How many states will enact a minimum wage increase in 2027?
At least 1: 71%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Florida's 18th District margin of victory
Franklin, 28+ pts: 98%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New Hampshire Senate winner? (2028)
Democratic party: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029
North Dakota Senate winner? (2028)
Republican party: 86%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Connecticut's 5th District margin of victory
Hayes, 3+ pts: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Massachusetts 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Louisiana Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 1.15M: 83%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Louisiana 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 60K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will Maryland award the Key Bridge main span contract by summer 2027?
Yes: 56%
24h vol $0 · Ends Oct 1, 2027
South Carolina 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
South Carolina 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Who will win the next Goa Assembly election?
BJP: 72%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 13, 2028
Labor majority in the NSW Legislative Assembly?
Yes: 58%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 12, 2028
Maryland 08 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Maryland 07 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 110K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (Yes)
Yes, ≥1%: 28%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 26 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Mecklenburg County, North Carolina: Roy Cooper vote percent
At least 68%: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Arizona 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 160K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Arkansas Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 750K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Arkansas Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 800K: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Which ballot measures will pass in Virginia?
Question 3: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 2, 2027
Vaduz mayoral election winner?
FBP: 86%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 13, 2028
Who will be Israeli justice minister after the election?
Yariv Levin: 20%
24h vol $0 · Ends Oct 27, 2027
Which peptides will the FDA propose adding to the 503A Bulks List?
BPC-157: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Oct 1, 2027
Will the 9th Circuit ease the Nexstar-Tegna injunction?
No: 75%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Who will win the next Manipur Assembly election?
BJP: 60%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 12, 2028
When will Wales call a snap election?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 22%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
South Carolina 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
South Carolina 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Glasgow City Council election winner?
SNP: 72%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 5, 2028
Louisiana 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Louisiana 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Kentucky Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 1.27M: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Kentucky 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will Robert Jarosh be retained on the Wyoming Supreme Court?
Yes: 84%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Washington Supreme Court Position 3 winner?
Jaime Hawk: 27%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027