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When will Anthropic release Claude 6?

Markets

  • Before Mar 31, 2027

    • Yes41%
    • No59%

    Volume $5.5K · Liquidity $3.5K

  • Before Dec 31, 2026

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $3.2K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • Before Jun 30, 2027

    • Yes69%
    • No31%

    Volume $836 · Liquidity $184

  • Before Sep 30, 2027

    • Yes79%
    • No21%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Before Dec 31, 2027

    • Yes90%
    • No11%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If Anthropic releases Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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