Skip to content

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?

Markets

  • At least 70%

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $5.8K · Liquidity $2K

  • At least 60%

    • Yes83%
    • No17%

    Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $442.1

  • At least 80%

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $184.4

  • At least 75%

    • Yes57%
    • No43%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $405

  • At least 95%

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $26.1

  • At least 65%

    • Yes78%
    • No22%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $510

  • At least 85%

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $701 · Liquidity $1

  • At least 90%

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $701 · Liquidity $64

Resolution rules

If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses