Tech & Science Prediction Markets
Live Kalshi markets on AI, space, tech launches and scientific milestones.
Data from Kalshi, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Will Elon make a Bluesky account before 2027?
No: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?
No: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
Before Jan 1, 2029: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Before Jul 1, 2027: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
No: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
above 1515: 27%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?
Yes: 67%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Number of data centers in Virginia this year?
At least 680: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 7, 2027
Number of data centers in Texas this year?
At least 540: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 7, 2027
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Above $1.46: 47%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Number of data centers in Ohio this year?
At least 265: 54%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 7, 2027
Number of data centers in New York this year?
At least 136: 51%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 7, 2027
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Above $5.79: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price of NVIDIA H100 SXM compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Above $3.23: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Number of data centers in Georgia this year?
At least 280: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 7, 2027
Number of data centers in Florida this year?
At least 112: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 7, 2027
Number of data centers in Arizona this year?
At least 162: 75%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 7, 2027
Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Above $1.39: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Anthropic vs Google: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026
Anthropic: 47%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Alibaba vs Xiaomi: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026
Alibaba: 49%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
OpenAI: 85%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Will the FDA approve VERVE-102?
Before 2035: 87%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2035