Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?
Markets
Will SpaceX test launch its Human Launch System before 2027?
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $19.1K · Liquidity $6.1K
Resolution rules
If Starship HLS has a test launch after Issuance and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Tech & Science markets
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Above 120: 99%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1540 score: 52%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
Meta: 12%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
4: 46%
24h vol $782.2 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
Clip-on device for clothing: 7%
24h vol $267.7 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
No: 93%
24h vol $192.7 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
No: 97%
24h vol $157.1 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?
No: 97%
24h vol $155.2 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Claude: 20%
24h vol $146.6 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
Above 3: 91%
24h vol $55.4 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
above 1515: 27%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
No: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2027