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Oct 2026 temperature increase?

Markets

  • 1.30001 or above

    • Yes94%
    • No6%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $790.1

  • 1.03 to 1.09

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $611 · Liquidity $611

  • 1.17 to 1.23

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $191 · Liquidity $180

  • 1.02999 or below

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $86 · Liquidity $83

  • 1.24 to 1.30

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $79 · Liquidity $79

  • 1.10 to 1.16

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $71 · Liquidity $70

Resolution rules

If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Oct 2026 is below 1.03, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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