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Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year?

Markets

  • Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year?

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $12.8K · Liquidity $6.3K

Resolution rules

If there are above 0 cases of polio in the United States in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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