Will there be a year without polio before 2030?
Markets
Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $42.8K · Liquidity $18K
Resolution rules
If there is any year between 2024 and 2029 in which there are zero reported wild cases of poliovirus 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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