China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?
Markets
Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?
- Yes19%
- No81%
Volume $133.5K · Liquidity $42.5K
Resolution rules
If China has overtaken US GDP by 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Economy markets
Will Kai Cenat become a billionaire before 2030?
No: 84%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
US defaults before 2030?
No: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Fed funds rate at end of 2029
Above 1.00%: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
When will Airtable officially announce an IPO?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 26%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
How high will unemployment get before 2030?
Above 5%: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 4, 2030
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2029
Above 56.50%: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 4, 2030
US unemployment rate at year-end 2029
Above 3.0%: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 4, 2030
US nominal GDP growth in 2029
Above 2.0%: 80%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 28, 2030
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029
Above 0.0%: 92%
24h vol $40 · Ends Feb 1, 2030
US trade deficit for 2029
Above $500 billion: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 4, 2030
US real GDP growth in 2029?
2.1% to 2.5%: 16%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 28, 2030
Will Trump bring back manufacturing?
No: 75%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 30, 2029