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Fed funds rate at end of 2029

Markets

  • Above 1.00%

    • Yes88%
    • No12%

    Volume $617 · Liquidity $322

  • Above 1.25%

    • Yes88%
    • No12%

    Volume $444 · Liquidity $294

  • Above 6.00%

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $433 · Liquidity $96

  • Above 4.00%

    • Yes42%
    • No58%

    Volume $297 · Liquidity $133

  • Above 5.50%

    • Yes29%
    • No71%

    Volume $269 · Liquidity $75

  • Above 2.75%

    • Yes66%
    • No34%

    Volume $244 · Liquidity $42

  • Above 1.50%

    • Yes84%
    • No16%

    Volume $175 · Liquidity $134

  • Above 5.75%

    • Yes18%
    • No82%

    Volume $162 · Liquidity $53

  • Above 4.25%

    • Yes45%
    • No55%

    Volume $146 · Liquidity $83

  • Above 3.00%

    • Yes64%
    • No36%

    Volume $145 · Liquidity $78

  • Above 2.25%

    • Yes68%
    • No32%

    Volume $136 · Liquidity $109

  • Above 5.25%

    • Yes36%
    • No64%

    Volume $124 · Liquidity $34

  • Above 2.00%

    • Yes74%
    • No26%

    Volume $93 · Liquidity $63

  • Above 2.50%

    • Yes54%
    • No46%

    Volume $88 · Liquidity $76

  • Above 3.25%

    • Yes53%
    • No47%

    Volume $86 · Liquidity $46

  • Above 5.00%

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $63 · Liquidity $21

  • Above 3.50%

    • Yes59%
    • No41%

    Volume $46 · Liquidity $39

  • Above 1.75%

    • Yes78%
    • No22%

    Volume $42 · Liquidity $40

  • Above 4.50%

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $33 · Liquidity $18

  • Above 4.75%

    • Yes34%
    • No66%

    Volume $13 · Liquidity $5

  • Above 3.75%

    • Yes48%
    • No52%

    Volume $8 · Liquidity $5

Resolution rules

If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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