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How low will US gas prices get in 2026?

Markets

  • Below $3.60

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $28.4K · Liquidity $13.5K

  • Below $3.40

    • Yes18%
    • No82%

    Volume $16.8K · Liquidity $6.8K

  • Below $3.20

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $12K · Liquidity $4.7K

  • Below $3.00

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $9.7K · Liquidity $5.7K

  • Below $2.80

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $4.7K · Liquidity $2K

  • Below $2.60

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $1.7K

  • Below $2.00

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Below $2.20

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $926.8 · Liquidity $356

  • Below $2.40

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $75.6 · Liquidity $62.6

Resolution rules

If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.60 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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