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Diesel price at year-end 2026

Markets

  • Above $7.60

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $6K · Liquidity $3.5K

  • Above $4.20

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $5K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • Above $6.00

    • Yes55%
    • No45%

    Volume $4.6K · Liquidity $1.8K

  • Above $6.80

    • Yes36%
    • No64%

    Volume $2.9K · Liquidity $659.1

  • Above $4.60

    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $1.7K

  • Above $7.20

    • Yes29%
    • No71%

    Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Above $5.80

    • Yes65%
    • No35%

    Volume $2.6K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Above $6.60

    • Yes34%
    • No66%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Above $6.40

    • Yes37%
    • No63%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $979.1

  • Above $5.20

    • Yes86%
    • No14%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $504

  • Above $4.40

    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Above $6.20

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $1K

  • Above $4.80

    • Yes88%
    • No12%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $628.4

  • Above $5.60

    • Yes71%
    • No29%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $447.6

  • Above $7.40

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $901.1

  • Above $5.40

    • Yes74%
    • No26%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $554.3

  • Above $7.00

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $522.9

  • Above $5.00

    • Yes88%
    • No12%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $1K

  • Above $4.00

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $732.4 · Liquidity $282.8

Resolution rules

If the AAA national average price for diesel on December 31, 2026 is above $4.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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