Skip to content
TheKalshiAcademy
EN

How low will US diesel prices get in 2026?

Markets

  • Below $5.70

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $692.7

  • Below $3.90

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Below $4.10

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $1.8K

  • Below $5.50

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $761.1

  • Below $4.50

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Below $3.50

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $688

  • Below $4.70

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Below $3.70

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $654 · Liquidity $625

  • Below $4.30

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $618 · Liquidity $557

  • Below $4.90

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $236 · Liquidity $136

  • Below $5.30

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $165 · Liquidity $165

  • Below $5.10

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $61.1 · Liquidity $61.1

Resolution rules

If the AAA national average price for diesel for the US in 2026 is below $5.70, at any time from Issuance through December 31, 2026, inclusive then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

More Economy markets