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How high will US diesel prices get in 2026?

Markets

  • Above $8.00

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $19.8K · Liquidity $5.7K

  • Above $6.60

    • Yes72%
    • No28%

    Volume $14.7K · Liquidity $6.3K

  • Above $7.00

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $12K · Liquidity $5.8K

  • Above $7.20

    • Yes34%
    • No66%

    Volume $11.1K · Liquidity $6.1K

  • Above $7.60

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $10.6K · Liquidity $3.4K

  • Above $6.80

    • Yes48%
    • No52%

    Volume $10.3K · Liquidity $3.6K

  • Above $6.40

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $10.2K · Liquidity $6.5K

  • Above $8.20

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $9.4K · Liquidity $5.1K

  • Above $7.40

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $6.6K · Liquidity $3K

  • Above $7.80

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $5.2K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • Above $9.00

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $5.2K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • Above $6.00

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $5.2K · Liquidity $4K

  • Above $6.20

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $3.4K · Liquidity $3.3K

  • Above $8.60

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $2.9K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • Above $8.80

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $2K

  • Above $8.40

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $973.6

Resolution rules

If the AAA national average price for diesel for the US in 2026 is above $6.00, at any time from Issuance through December 31, 2026, inclusive then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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