Next Fed rate cut?
Markets
Before 2028
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $782
Before July 2028
- Yes66%
- No34%
Volume $701 · Liquidity $701
Before 2029
- Yes82%
- No18%
Volume $700 · Liquidity $700
Before 2027
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $306 · Liquidity $303
Before July 2027
- Yes22%
- No78%
Volume $235 · Liquidity $226.5
Resolution rules
If the Federal Open Market Committee announces a reduction in the target range for the federal funds rate at least once after market Issuance and on or before December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Economy markets
Next Fed rate hike?
Before 2029: 98%
24h vol $8.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Global remittances received in 2026
Above $800 billion: 96%
24h vol $201.1 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
US defaults before 2029?
No: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Fed funds rate at end of 2028
Above 1.00%: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Global remittances sent in 2026
Above $500 billion: 80%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Will Roy Lee become a billionaire before 2029?
No: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2028
Above 56.00%: 98%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 5, 2029
US unemployment rate at year-end 2028
Above 3.0%: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 5, 2029
Will there be a Trump economic boom?
No: 64%
24h vol $10 · Ends Jan 26, 2029
US nominal GDP growth in 2028
Above 0.5%: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 28, 2029
US headline CPI inflation in December 2028
Above 0.0%: 94%
24h vol $122 · Ends Feb 1, 2029
US trade deficit for 2028
Above $500 billion: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 5, 2029