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US unemployment rate at year-end 2028

Markets

  • Above 9.5%

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $700

  • Above 9.0%

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $902 · Liquidity $900

  • Above 10.0%

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $502 · Liquidity $500

  • Above 6.0%

    • Yes46%
    • No54%

    Volume $52 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 3.5%

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 4.0%

    • Yes82%
    • No18%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 4.5%

    • Yes75%
    • No25%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 5.0%

    • Yes67%
    • No33%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 5.5%

    • Yes59%
    • No41%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 3.0%

    • Yes95%
    • No6%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 6.5%

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 7.0%

    • Yes36%
    • No64%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 7.5%

    • Yes28%
    • No72%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 8.0%

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 8.5%

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 is above 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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