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Fed funds rate at end of 2028

Markets

  • Above 1.00%

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $596 · Liquidity $402

  • Above 1.25%

    • Yes79%
    • No21%

    Volume $563 · Liquidity $456

  • Above 3.50%

    • Yes71%
    • No29%

    Volume $437.5 · Liquidity $244.5

  • Above 5.25%

    • Yes28%
    • No72%

    Volume $356 · Liquidity $197

  • Above 4.50%

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $329 · Liquidity $173

  • Above 5.75%

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $281 · Liquidity $98

  • Above 5.00%

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $257 · Liquidity $118

  • Above 4.75%

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $199 · Liquidity $154

  • Above 5.50%

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $187 · Liquidity $82

  • Above 2.75%

    • Yes60%
    • No40%

    Volume $153 · Liquidity $61

  • Above 1.50%

    • Yes82%
    • No18%

    Volume $135 · Liquidity $18

  • Above 6.00%

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $134 · Liquidity $25

  • Above 4.25%

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $116.4 · Liquidity $116.4

  • Above 2.00%

    • Yes76%
    • No24%

    Volume $88 · Liquidity $36

  • Above 1.75%

    • Yes85%
    • No15%

    Volume $72 · Liquidity $36

  • Above 2.25%

    • Yes77%
    • No23%

    Volume $68.2 · Liquidity $56

  • Above 3.75%

    • Yes52%
    • No48%

    Volume $61 · Liquidity $36

  • Above 2.50%

    • Yes76%
    • No24%

    Volume $41.2 · Liquidity $34

  • Above 4.00%

    • Yes46%
    • No54%

    Volume $38 · Liquidity $34

  • Above 3.00%

    • Yes54%
    • No46%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 3.25%

    • Yes27%
    • No73%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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