US employer health insurance cost growth in Q4 2026
Markets
Above 5.0%
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Above 5.5%
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Above 4.5%
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Above 6.0%
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Above 6.5%
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Above 7.0%
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Above 7.5%
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If the year-over-year increase in U.S. private-industry employer health-benefit costs for December 2026 is above 4.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Economy markets
US employer health insurance cost growth (YoY) · September 2027
Above 4%: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Oct 29, 2027
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No: 82%
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Above 5.4 million TEUs: 95%
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Above 4.0 million barrels/day: 27%
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US gasoline inventories at the end of November
Below 215 million barrels: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 29, 2027
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Above 88%: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 29, 2027
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Above 425,000 TEUs: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 29, 2027
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Above 1.5%: 98%
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24h vol $2K · Ends Jan 31, 2027
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