US crude oil exports in November
Markets
Above 4.0 million barrels/day
- Yes98%
- No2%
Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $151.5
Above 4.5 million barrels/day
- Yes86%
- No14%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $14
Above 5.5 million barrels/day
- Yes80%
- No20%
Volume $786 · Liquidity $54.3
Above 5.0 million barrels/day
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $481 · Liquidity $45
Above 6.0 million barrels/day
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $202 · Liquidity $11
Resolution rules
If the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 is above 4.0 million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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