US personal saving rate at year-end 2026
Markets
4.0% or Above
- Yes39%
- No61%
Volume $4.4K · Liquidity $2.3K
3.0% to 3.4%
- Yes20%
- No80%
Volume $886.2 · Liquidity $370.7
2.5% to 2.9%
- Yes15%
- No85%
Volume $844.9 · Liquidity $436.2
3.5% to 3.9%
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $676.8 · Liquidity $368
Below 2.5%
- Yes15%
- No85%
Volume $662.4 · Liquidity $557
Resolution rules
If the US personal saving rate for 2026 is below 2.5%, as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by Federal Reserve Economic Data, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Economy markets
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No: 82%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 29, 2027
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Port of Savannah container volume in 2026
Above 5.4 million TEUs: 95%
24h vol $40 · Ends Jan 29, 2027
US real GDP growth in Q4 2026?
Above 0.0%: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 28, 2027
US nominal GDP growth in 2026
Above 0.0%: 98%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 28, 2027
Fed decision in Jan 2027?
Fed maintains rate: 58%
24h vol $6.7K · Ends Jan 27, 2027
Fed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting?
Above 0.00%: 99%
24h vol $83.3 · Ends Jan 27, 2027
Recession this year?
No: 96%
24h vol $877.6 · Ends Jan 31, 2027
Colorado permitted housing units in 2026
Above 30,000: 68%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Jan 27, 2027
California permitted housing units in 2026
Above 100,000: 97%
24h vol $70.9 · Ends Jan 27, 2027
M2 money supply growth at year-end 2026
6.5% or Above: 27%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 26, 2027
U.S. imports from Iran >$5M in 2026?
No: 98%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 1, 2027

