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US retail jobs added this holiday season

Markets

  • Above 400,000 jobs

    • Yes78%
    • No22%

    Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $737.3

  • Above 500,000 jobs

    • Yes64%
    • No36%

    Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $49.1

  • Above 350,000 jobs

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $4.2

  • Above 600,000 jobs

    • Yes60%
    • No40%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $0

  • Above 550,000 jobs

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $8.1

  • Above 300,000 jobs

    • Yes88%
    • No12%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $0

  • Above 450,000 jobs

    • Yes73%
    • No27%

    Volume $492.2 · Liquidity $100

Resolution rules

If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 300,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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