Skip to content
TheKalshiAcademy
EN

Fed funds rate at end of 2036

Markets

  • Above 4.75%

    • Yes26%
    • No74%

    Volume $330 · Liquidity $179

  • Above 5.00%

    • Yes53%
    • No47%

    Volume $242 · Liquidity $174

  • Above 6.00%

    • Yes34%
    • No66%

    Volume $232.9 · Liquidity $63.9

  • Above 4.25%

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $226 · Liquidity $83

  • Above 1.75%

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $199.7 · Liquidity $37

  • Above 5.75%

    • Yes29%
    • No71%

    Volume $193 · Liquidity $80

  • Above 2.25%

    • Yes51%
    • No49%

    Volume $178 · Liquidity $24

  • Above 5.50%

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $151 · Liquidity $79

  • Above 4.50%

    • Yes49%
    • No51%

    Volume $140 · Liquidity $17

  • Above 2.75%

    • Yes75%
    • No25%

    Volume $138 · Liquidity $96

  • Above 3.00%

    • Yes79%
    • No21%

    Volume $109.4 · Liquidity $46.8

  • Above 1.25%

    • Yes92%
    • No8%

    Volume $97 · Liquidity $20

  • Above 2.00%

    • Yes67%
    • No33%

    Volume $92 · Liquidity $46

  • Above 3.75%

    • Yes49%
    • No51%

    Volume $65 · Liquidity $35

  • Above 4.00%

    • Yes47%
    • No53%

    Volume $61 · Liquidity $35

  • Above 2.50%

    • Yes59%
    • No41%

    Volume $48 · Liquidity $17

  • Above 5.25%

    • Yes30%
    • No70%

    Volume $45 · Liquidity $26

  • Above 1.50%

    • Yes71%
    • No29%

    Volume $31.8 · Liquidity $8.4

  • Above 3.50%

    • Yes54%
    • No46%

    Volume $25.4 · Liquidity $20.2

  • Above 1.00%

    • Yes68%
    • No32%

    Volume $9 · Liquidity $8

  • Above 3.25%

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0.2 · Liquidity $0.1

Resolution rules

If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

More Economy markets