Economy Prediction Markets
Live Kalshi markets on inflation, interest rates, jobs data, stocks and companies.
Data from Kalshi, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Grindr average paying users in Q3
Above 1.4 million: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 10, 2027
DraftKings sportsbook margin in Q3
Above 5.5%: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 6, 2027
Monday net dollar retention rate for the >$100k arr cohort in fiscal 2026
Above 111%: 87%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 9, 2027
Uber trips in fiscal 2026
Above 15.4 billion: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 12, 2027
DraftKings average monthly unique payers in Q3
Above 3.4 million: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 6, 2027
Fed funds rate at end of 2028
Above 1.00%: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Commercial property prices down >20% YoY as of Oct 2027?
No: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 1, 2027
How much will a Fyre Festival 2 General Admission Ticket cost?
At least $500: 75%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs?
Ashok Varadhan: 11%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2030
Raleigh-Durham International Airport passengers in 2026
Above 15.50 million: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 28, 2027
Charles Schwab active brokerage accounts in Q1 2027
Above 40.7 million: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 28, 2027
Sea Limited Garena paying users in Q3
Above 69 million: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 10, 2027
Will the IRS collect more in taxes this year than last year?
Yes: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2027
Klarna active klarna consumers in Q3
Above 121 million: 79%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 10, 2027
Life360 monthly active users in Q3
Above 104.5 million: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 10, 2027
US defaults before 2029?
No: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
What sector will Anthropic be assigned to?
Information Technology: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 11, 2028
The Cheesecake Factory comparable restaurant sales in fiscal 2026
Above 3%: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 17, 2027
NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in January 2027
Above $4.50: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Will NextEra Energy successfully take over Dominion Energy?
Yes: 79%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT · Average price in May 2027
Above $22.60: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 1, 2027
NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in January 2027
Above $2.25: 85%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 1, 2027
NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in January 2027
Above $1.50: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Starbucks headcount in fiscal 2026
Above 350 thousand: 25%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 10, 2027
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in January 2027
Above $0.25: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 1, 2027
50% tariffs on Canadian autos and steel in effect?
No: 76%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 2, 2027
DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 · Average price in January 2027
Above $51.75: 98%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 1, 2027
DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT · Average price in January 2027
Above $24.50: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 1, 2027
StubHub gross merchandise sales in Q3
Above $2.3 billion: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 12, 2027
NVIDIA A100 · Average hourly price in January 2027
Above $0.50: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 1, 2027
DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 · Average price in May 2027
Above $53.75: 98%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 1, 2027
US headline CPI inflation in December 2035
Above 0.0%: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 1, 2036
US trade deficit for 2030
Above $500 billion: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 3, 2031
US headline CPI inflation in December 2030
Above 3.5%: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 1, 2031
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2030
Above 57.00%: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 10, 2031
Clear active clear+ members in 2026
Above 8.4 million: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 31, 2028
Petrobras total production (Mboed) in Q3
Above 2950 mboed: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 13, 2027
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029
Above 0.0%: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 1, 2030
US headline CPI inflation in December 2034
Above 0.0%: 98%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 1, 2035
Rivian total vehicles delivered in 2026
Above 40000: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 31, 2028
US unemployment rate at year-end 2027
Above 3.0%: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 7, 2028
CAVA same restaurant sales growth in Q3
Above 3%: 85%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 20, 2027
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2028
Above 56.00%: 98%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 5, 2029
Evolv Technologies new customers in Q3
Above 40: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 13, 2027
Will Sam Altman hold super-voting OpenAI shares at IPO?
No: 73%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will Roy Lee become a billionaire before 2029?
No: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Domino's US same store sales growth in Q1 2027
Above -4%: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 28, 2027
Domino's total US stores in Q1 2027
Above 7,310: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 28, 2027