Economy Prediction Markets
Live Kalshi markets on inflation, interest rates, jobs data, stocks and companies.
Data from Kalshi, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Fed decision in Jul 2027?
Fed maintains rate: 77%
24h vol $39.3 · Ends Jul 28, 2027
Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?
No: 91%
24h vol $34.6 · Ends Feb 23, 2027
When will the S&P 500 Index be above $8,000?
Before Jan 1, 2027: 95%
24h vol $34.3 · Ends Mar 1, 2027
Netflix headcount in 2026
Above 16500: 83%
24h vol $33.9 · Ends Mar 31, 2028
Meta family daily active people in 2026
Above 3.66 billion: 94%
24h vol $27.8 · Ends Mar 31, 2028
eBay gross merchandise volume in 2026
Above $84 billion: 99%
24h vol $25 · Ends Mar 31, 2028
Starbucks headcount in fiscal 2026
Above 350 thousand: 26%
24h vol $23.8 · Ends Feb 10, 2027
Dollarama comparable store sales growth in fiscal 2027
Above 2%: 96%
24h vol $23.2 · Ends Jun 30, 2027
Robinhood event contracts trading volume in Q3
Above $12 billion: 99%
24h vol $22.3 · Ends Mar 4, 2027
Norwegian Cruise Line passengers carried in Q3
Above 810 thousand: 99%
24h vol $18.5 · Ends Feb 25, 2027
Snowflake customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in Q3
Above 835: 96%
24h vol $17.1 · Ends Mar 25, 2027
Robinhood funded customers in 2026
Above 28 million: 98%
24h vol $15.9 · Ends Mar 31, 2028
Google headcount in 2026
Above 188000: 95%
24h vol $15.7 · Ends Mar 31, 2028
2027 Honda Accord starting MSRP
Above $28,000: 99%
24h vol $14 · Ends Apr 1, 2027
Will Missouri manufacturing employment rise YoY?
No: 68%
24h vol $13.9 · Ends Apr 30, 2027
Walmart US comparable sales growth (ex-fuel) in Q3
Above 2.8%: 86%
24h vol $12.7 · Ends Mar 19, 2027
Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?
Morgan Stanley: 86%
24h vol $12 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
DoorDash total orders in Q3
Above 980 million: 92%
24h vol $10.8 · Ends Mar 5, 2027
Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in 2026
Above 97 million: 99%
24h vol $10.6 · Ends Mar 31, 2028
When will AppsFlyer officially announce an IPO?
Before May 1, 2027: 16%
24h vol $10 · Ends Jun 1, 2027
Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
Above 87.5 TWh: 96%
24h vol $10 · Ends Feb 28, 2027
Charles Schwab active brokerage accounts in Q1 2027
Above 40.7 million: 94%
24h vol $9.5 · Ends Nov 28, 2027
Google search paid clicks change in Q3
Above 8%: 99%
24h vol $8.4 · Ends Feb 24, 2027
How much will the Tesla Roadster cost?
At least $175,000: 99%
24h vol $8 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
What sector will Anthropic be assigned to?
Information Technology: 95%
24h vol $7.3 · Ends Jan 11, 2028
Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
Above 1.8 million: 99%
24h vol $6.8 · Ends Mar 31, 2028
Home Depot customer transactions in fiscal 2026
Above 1.54 billion: 96%
24h vol $6.7 · Ends May 25, 2027
Fed decision in Dec 2027?
Fed maintains rate: 58%
24h vol $6 · Ends Dec 8, 2027
Roblox daily active users in fiscal 2026
Above 130 million: 85%
24h vol $5.2 · Ends May 12, 2027
McDonald's comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026
Above 1.5%: 80%
24h vol $5 · Ends Apr 27, 2027
Webull funded accounts in Q3
Above 5.15 million: 86%
24h vol $4.8 · Ends Mar 10, 2027
Timber harvested from Oregon BOF lands in FY2027
Above 160 million board feet: 97%
24h vol $4.3 · Ends Nov 30, 2027
China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?
No: 79%
24h vol $4 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Wingstop domestic same store sales growth in Q3
Above -8%: 93%
24h vol $3.9 · Ends Mar 5, 2027
Loblaw food retail same-store sales growth in fiscal 2026
Above 1%: 99%
24h vol $3.3 · Ends May 2, 2027
Will SpaceX acquire any major U.S. telecom business before 2028?
No: 69%
24h vol $3.1 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026
Above 9.4 million: 98%
24h vol $2.7 · Ends Jan 31, 2027
US solar capacity installed in 2026
At least 40 GWdc: 97%
24h vol $2.7 · Ends Mar 31, 2027
Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026
Above 950 units: 98%
24h vol $2.5 · Ends May 31, 2027
Victoria's Secret comparable sales growth in Q3
Above 2%: 98%
24h vol $2.1 · Ends Apr 3, 2027
Will the IRS collect more in taxes this year than last year?
Yes: 89%
24h vol $2 · Ends Dec 31, 2027
Domino's total US stores in 2026
Above 7350: 82%
24h vol $1.9 · Ends May 2, 2027
Robinhood gold subs in Q3
Above 4.8 million: 98%
24h vol $1.9 · Ends Mar 4, 2027
Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027
Above $750: 87%
24h vol $1.3 · Ends Sep 20, 2027
Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
No: 78%
24h vol $1.3 · Ends Feb 26, 2027
Next Fed rate cut?
Before 2029: 82%
24h vol $1.3 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
McDonald's total restaurants in fiscal 2026
Above 46800: 95%
24h vol $1.1 · Ends Apr 27, 2027
Alabama vehicle production in 2026
Above 1.10 million vehicles: 92%
24h vol $1.1 · Ends Jul 30, 2027