Will Obamacare be repealed?
Markets
Will Obamacare be repealed before Jan 20, 2029?
- Yes16%
- No84%
Volume $9.2K · Liquidity $3.8K
Resolution rules
If a bill becomes law that eliminates any of the following ACA provisions: (1) the employer mandate (2) the Medicaid eligibility expansion (3) the protection for preexisting conditions (4) permitting people up to the age of 26 to be on their parents' health care plans or (5) ends the premium subsidies for households on the ACA marketplace before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Politics markets
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Pete Hegseth: 27%
24h vol $5.8K · Ends Jan 20, 2029
Will Trump go on SNL during his second term?
No: 85%
24h vol $37 · Ends Jan 20, 2029
Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?
Before Jan 20, 2029: 19%
24h vol $12 · Ends Jan 20, 2029
Will the independence of the judiciary be weakened during Trump's term?
No: 77%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 20, 2029
Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?
No: 93%
24h vol $7.3 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
When will a reconciliation bill become law?
Before Jul 1, 2028: 34%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
When will Putin and Zelenskyy meet?
Before Jan 1, 2029: 28%
24h vol $357.6 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
First Circuit fully affirms Harvard funding ruling?
Yes: 66%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
FTC antitrust case against Meta revived on appeal?
No: 58%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Will US Supreme Court ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams?
No: 79%
24h vol $29.4 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
How much will US democracy weaken under Trump?
Below 7.60: 87%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 17, 2029
Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?
Denver: 41%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 7, 2028