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Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?

Markets

  • Before Jan 20, 2029

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $191.3K · Liquidity $72K

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Before Jan 1, 2028

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $83.3 · Liquidity $83.3

Resolution rules

If, as part of Section IV of the 25th Amendment, the Vice President (and a majority of the Cabinet or some other body designated by Congress) transmit to Congress a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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