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When will a reconciliation bill become law?

Markets

  • Before Jan 1, 2029

    • Yes29%
    • No71%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $4

  • Before Oct 1, 2026

    Closed
    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $289 · Liquidity $285

  • Before Jul 1, 2028

    • Yes34%
    • No66%

    Volume $30.1 · Liquidity $30.1

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • Before Jul 1, 2027

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $0.1 · Liquidity $0.1

  • Before Jan 1, 2028

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $0.1 · Liquidity $0.1

Resolution rules

If a reconciliation bill has become law after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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