When will the U.S. have a Cabinet-level AI official?
Markets
Before Jan 1, 2027
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $952.5
Before Jan 1, 2028
- Yes25%
- No75%
Volume $603.3 · Liquidity $453.8
Before Jan 1, 2029
- Yes31%
- No69%
Volume $28.4 · Liquidity $28.4
Resolution rules
If a person formally serves in a Cabinet-level position within the U.S. federal government whose primary and distinct policy portfolio is artificial intelligence after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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