Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?
Markets
Before Jan 1, 2027
- Yes13%
- No87%
Volume $415.4 · Liquidity $294.1
Before Jan 1, 2028
- Yes32%
- No68%
Volume $185.4 · Liquidity $153.5
Before Jan 20, 2029
- Yes47%
- No53%
Volume $12.5 · Liquidity $7.5
Resolution rules
If the U.S. federal government has taken a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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