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Scott Bessent announces departure as Secretary of the Treasury?

Markets

  • Before Apr 1, 2027

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $100 · Liquidity $100

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $34 · Liquidity $34

  • Before Jan 1, 2028

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Before Jul 1, 2028

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Before Jan 1, 2029

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Before Jul 1, 2027

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Before Oct 1, 2027

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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