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What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?

Markets

  • Greenland

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $445.8K · Liquidity $148.3K

  • Venezuela

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $421.1K · Liquidity $102.4K

  • Cuba

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $267.5K · Liquidity $106.8K

  • Canada

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $232.9K · Liquidity $98.5K

  • Puerto Rico

    • Yes2%
    • No99%

    Volume $211.6K · Liquidity $72.5K

  • District of Columbia

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $124.6K · Liquidity $68.4K

  • Colombia

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $96.2K · Liquidity $65.3K

  • Guam

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $83.7K · Liquidity $57.2K

Resolution rules

If the 51st state is District of Columbia before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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