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When will CMS announce the addition of GLP-1 drugs for obesity to Part D?

Markets

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $12.3K · Liquidity $3.4K

  • Before Jan 20, 2029

    • Yes53%
    • No47%

    Volume $5.9K · Liquidity $642

  • Before Jan 1, 2028

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $3.4K · Liquidity $1.6K

Resolution rules

If CMS announces the addition of GLP-1 drugs for obesity to Part D before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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