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Will Trump order mandatory pre-release federal review of AI models?

Markets

  • Before Sep 1, 2026

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $7.1K · Liquidity $818.6

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $6.3K · Liquidity $1.5K

Resolution rules

If Donald Trump has taken any executive action establishing or directing a mandatory federal review, evaluation, or approval process that at least one class of AI models must complete before public release before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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