Who will be arrested in 2026?
Markets
Barack Obama
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $260.7K · Liquidity $81.7K
Hillary Clinton
- Yes6%
- No95%
Volume $220.3K · Liquidity $95.1K
Anthony Fauci
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $195.5K · Liquidity $80.4K
Letitia James
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $162.6K · Liquidity $26.9K
John Brennan
- Yes22%
- No78%
Volume $152.1K · Liquidity $34.2K
James Clapper
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $65.7K · Liquidity $13.9K
Adam Schiff
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $57.5K · Liquidity $13.5K
Gavin Newsom
- Yes5%
- No96%
Volume $47.3K · Liquidity $17.3K
Bill Clinton
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $43.1K · Liquidity $18.7K
Lisa Cook
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $34.1K · Liquidity $13K
Ilhan Omar
- Yes33%
- No67%
Volume $17.1K · Liquidity $10.3K
Susan Rice
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $13.7K · Liquidity $6.3K
Pam Bondi
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $13.4K · Liquidity $5.4K
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
- Yes11%
- No89%
Volume $13.4K · Liquidity $3.4K
Tom Homan
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $12.4K · Liquidity $5.4K
Mahmoud Khalil
- Yes15%
- No85%
Volume $11.9K · Liquidity $4.4K
Benjamin Netanyahu
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $10.6K · Liquidity $4.7K
Joe Biden
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $10.2K · Liquidity $5.5K
Loretta Lynch
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $8.7K · Liquidity $4.6K
John Kerry
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $7K · Liquidity $3.6K
Kash Patel
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $6.6K · Liquidity $3.6K
Candace Owens
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $6K · Liquidity $2.7K
Brandon Johnson
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $4K · Liquidity $1.4K
Lee Jun-seok
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $3.6K · Liquidity $620.9
Lee Jae Myung
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $3.2K · Liquidity $2.6K
Resolution rules
If Gavin Newsom is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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