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When will Canada gain EU associate status?

Markets

  • Before 2029

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $3.7K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Before 2028

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $3K · Liquidity $1.4K

Resolution rules

If Canada and the European Union sign or formally adopt an agreement establishing Canada as an EU associate member or an equivalent new formal institutional status after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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