Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?
Markets
Before Mar 1, 2027
- Yes74%
- No26%
Volume $6.7K · Liquidity $410.8
Before Jan 10, 2027
- Yes55%
- No45%
Volume $261.8 · Liquidity $106.7
Resolution rules
If Jair Bolsonaro receives a pardon, clemency, or substantially equivalent official act of legal forgiveness from a competent authority before Jan 10, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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