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Will the U.S. grant CAATSA sanctions relief to Turkey this year?

Markets

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $4.4K · Liquidity $2.8K

  • Before Oct 1, 2026

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $1.2K

Resolution rules

If the White House, the U.S. Department of State, or the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce the completion of a sanctions-relief action, through a waiver, license, termination, revocation, delisting, or equivalent mechanism, that removes or suspends any sanction imposed on December 14, 2020, under CAATSA Section 231 against Turkey’s Presidency of Defense Industries (SSB) or any Turkish official named in that action, or authorizes conduct otherwise prohibited by any such sanction before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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