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Mark Carney announces departure as Prime Minister of Canada?

Markets

  • Before Jul 1, 2029

    • Yes40%
    • No60%

    Volume $497.6 · Liquidity $497.6

  • Before Jan 1, 2029

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Before Jul 1, 2027

    • Yes5%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Before Jan 1, 2028

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Before Jul 1, 2028

    • Yes12%
    • No89%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If Mark Carney leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of Canada before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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