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California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (Yes)

Markets

  • Yes, ≥1%

    • Yes28%
    • No72%

    Volume $10.5K · Liquidity $5.7K

  • Yes, ≥10%

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $2.6K · Liquidity $777

  • Yes, ≥22%

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $848

  • Yes, ≥13%

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $375

  • Yes, ≥16%

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $549.2

  • Yes, ≥19%

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $236

  • Yes, ≥7%

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $961 · Liquidity $751

  • Yes, ≥4%

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $806.9 · Liquidity $640

Resolution rules

If the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 1%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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