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Will the Treasury announce sanctions on a Chinese bank?

Markets

  • Before Oct 1, 2026

    Closed
    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $410.9 · Liquidity $407.8

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $404.4 · Liquidity $350

  • Before Nov 11, 2026

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $25.8 · Liquidity $5

  • Before Apr 1, 2027

    • Yes24%
    • No77%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces sanctions on a Chinese bank before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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