US credit rating downgrade in 2026?
Markets
Will the U.S. credit rating be downgraded by December 31, 2026?
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $79.2K · Liquidity $33.5K
Resolution rules
If U.S. credit is downgraded by any of the three major credit ratings agencies by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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