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How many DSA members will there be at the end of 2026?

Markets

  • Above 130,000

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $6K · Liquidity $300

  • Above 160,000

    • Yes52%
    • No48%

    Volume $4K · Liquidity $291

  • Above 140,000

    • Yes71%
    • No29%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $303

  • Above 150,000

    • Yes60%
    • No40%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $256.8

  • Above 190,000

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $608.9 · Liquidity $3

  • Above 170,000

    • Yes37%
    • No63%

    Volume $353.6 · Liquidity $314.8

  • Above 180,000

    • Yes36%
    • No64%

    Volume $27.3 · Liquidity $26.3

  • Above 200,000

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Above 110,000

    • Yes91%
    • No9%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 120,000

    • Yes81%
    • No19%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 210,000

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 220,000

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing is above 110,000 as reported for December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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