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Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?

Markets

  • Democratic sweep

    • Yes52%
    • No48%

    Volume $10.6K · Liquidity $7.6K

  • Texas, Alaska

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $10.2K · Liquidity $6.6K

  • Texas, Alaska, Ohio

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $9.6K · Liquidity $6.8K

  • Republican sweep

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $9.3K · Liquidity $6.3K

  • Alaska, Ohio

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $7.4K · Liquidity $6.8K

  • Ohio only

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $7.2K · Liquidity $6.5K

  • Alaska, Iowa, Ohio

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $5.2K · Liquidity $812.8

  • Alaska only

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $4.6K · Liquidity $4K

  • Alaska, Iowa

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $4.2K · Liquidity $3.9K

  • Texas, Alaska, Iowa

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $3.9K · Liquidity $3.4K

  • Iowa only

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $3.2K · Liquidity $2.9K

  • Texas, Ohio

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • Texas only

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Texas, Iowa, Ohio

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $1K

  • Texas, Iowa

    • Yes2%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $873.5

  • Iowa, Ohio

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $932 · Liquidity $706

Resolution rules

If the winning party for the Class II Senate seat of Texas is NOT the Democratic Party, AND the Class II Senate seat of Alaska is NOT the Democratic Party, AND the Class II Senate seat of Iowa is NOT the Democratic Party, AND the Class III Senate seat of Ohio is NOT the Democratic Party for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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