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Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?

Markets

  • Before Jan 20, 2029

    • Yes40%
    • No60%

    Volume $25.4K · Liquidity $8.3K

  • Before Jan 1, 2028

    • Yes19%
    • No82%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If a free trade agreement with any country has become law, either through Senate ratification and Presidential approval or through Congressional-Executive Agreement and the signature of the President (or at least, signing the implementing legislation) after Issuance before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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