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Next German federal election winner?

Markets

  • AfD

    • Yes82%
    • No18%

    Volume $12.9K · Liquidity $8K

  • FDP

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $11.8K · Liquidity $2.5K

  • The Left

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $11.2K · Liquidity $2.5K

  • SPD

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $9.7K · Liquidity $3.1K

  • Greens

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $9.6K · Liquidity $2.5K

  • BSW

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $8.8K · Liquidity $2.5K

  • CDU/CSU

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $471.3

Resolution rules

If AfD wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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