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Who will become Prime Minister of India after next general election?

Markets

  • Rahul Gandhi

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $8.3K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • Akhilesh Yadav

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $5.4K · Liquidity $1K

  • Amit Shah

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $4.7K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Narendra Modi

    • Yes47%
    • No53%

    Volume $4.2K · Liquidity $2K

  • Yogi Adityanath

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Priyanka Gandhi Vadra

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $1K

  • N. Chandrababu Naidu

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $1K

  • Nitin Gadkari

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $1K

  • Devendra Fadnavis

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $1K

Resolution rules

If Narendra Modi becomes Prime Minister of India as a result of government formation following the next Indian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Apr 30, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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