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Will a cabinet member be impeached?

Markets

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $57.1K · Liquidity $18.6K

  • Before Jan 1, 2028

    • Yes65%
    • No35%

    Volume $41.6K · Liquidity $18.9K

  • Before Jan 20, 2029

    • Yes69%
    • No31%

    Volume $7.6K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • Before Jul 1, 2027

    • Yes43%
    • No57%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Before Apr 1, 2027

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $951.1 · Liquidity $951.1

  • Before Oct 1, 2027

    • Yes55%
    • No45%

    Volume $159.6 · Liquidity $159.6

Resolution rules

If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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